{"id":5940,"date":"2015-09-10T14:47:12","date_gmt":"2015-09-10T19:47:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/?p=5940"},"modified":"2015-09-10T14:47:12","modified_gmt":"2015-09-10T19:47:12","slug":"markets-suggest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/markets-suggest\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets Suggest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fed Funds futures continue to point toward a coming rate hike but give it <strong>only a 24% chance of happening at the September FOMC meeting<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The full profile of implied probabilities of a Fed rate hike derived from CME Fed Funds futures are detailed in the chart below. Fed Funds futures suggest a two-thirds probability that rates increase by the January meeting early next year.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-5946\" src=\"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png\" alt=\"potw_1_20150910\" width=\"1109\" height=\"387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png 1109w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-300x105.png 300w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-768x268.png 768w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-1024x357.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-200x70.png 200w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-400x140.png 400w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-600x209.png 600w, https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-800x279.png 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1109px) 100vw, 1109px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>While we\u00c2\u00a0fully\u00c2\u00a0expect a rate hike between now and early 2016, weakness in China and U.S. stock\u00c2\u00a0market volatility may have delayed\u00c2\u00a0the first rate increase to October or later.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nevertheless, we\u00c2\u00a0still expect the Fed to take its first step toward\u00c2\u00a0normalizing interest rates very soon despite little evidence of traditional economic &#8216;pressures&#8217; in the economy.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed Funds futures continue to point toward a coming rate hike but give it only a 24% chance of happening at the September FOMC meeting. The full profile of implied probabilities of a Fed rate hike derived from CME Fed Funds futures are detailed in the chart below. Fed Funds futures suggest a two-thirds probability&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5946,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,12,13,1],"tags":[49,63],"post_series":[],"class_list":["post-5940","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-graphic","category-marks-musings","category-pic-of-the-week","category-uncategorized","tag-federal-reserve","tag-interest-rates","entry","has-media"],"aioseo_notices":[],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-300x105.png",300,105,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-768x268.png",768,268,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-1024x357.png",980,342,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"lightbox":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"search_results":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",125,44,false],"blog_entry":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910-250x150.png",250,150,true],"blog_post":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"blog_post_full":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"blog_related":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"portfolio_entry":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"portfolio_post":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"portfolio_related":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"staff_entry":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"staff_post":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"staff_related":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"testimonials_entry":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"testimonials_post":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false],"gallery":["https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-content\/uploads\/potw_1_20150910.png",1109,387,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"mcsnead","author_link":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/author\/mcsnead\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Fed Funds futures continue to point toward a coming rate hike but give it only a 24% chance of happening at the September FOMC meeting. The full profile of implied probabilities of a Fed rate hike derived from CME Fed Funds futures are detailed in the chart below. Fed Funds futures suggest a two-thirds probability&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5940","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5940"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5940\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5940"},{"taxonomy":"post_series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.regiontrack.com\/www\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_series?post=5940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}