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Markets Suggest

Fed Funds futures continue to point toward a coming rate hike but give it only a 24% chance of happening at the September FOMC meeting.

The full profile of implied probabilities of a Fed rate hike derived from CME Fed Funds futures are detailed in the chart below. Fed Funds futures suggest a two-thirds probability that rates increase by the January meeting early next year.

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How interest Rates Affect Stock Prices (1991)

“How interest Rates Affect Stock Prices”

Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine
July 1991
by Mark C. Snead

The basic theoretical relationship between changes in long-term interest rates and stock prices is inverse. Falling interest rates signal rising stock prices, while inversely, rising interest rates signal falling stock prices. 

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