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Markets Suggest

Fed Funds futures continue to point toward a coming rate hike but give it only a 24% chance of happening at the September FOMC meeting. The full profile of implied probabilities of a Fed rate hike derived from CME Fed Funds futures are detailed in the chart below. Fed Funds futures suggest a two-thirds probability [...]

By |2015-09-10T14:47:12+00:00September 10th, 2015|Graphic, Mark's Musings, Pic of the Week, Uncategorized|Comments Off on Markets Suggest

Yes, the Current Economic Expansion is Getting a Bit Long in the Tooth (09/08/2015)

While recessions seem to last forever, expansions tend to slip by all too quickly. The current expansion is no exception in that the past 6 years of economic growth seem to have passed rather quickly and quietly. Our pic-of-the-week highlights the relative age of the current expansion, now at 74 months and running.  […]

By |2015-09-08T13:00:59+00:00September 8th, 2015|Graphic, Pic of the Week, Uncategorized|Comments Off on Yes, the Current Economic Expansion is Getting a Bit Long in the Tooth (09/08/2015)

Which States Use the Most Paid Child Care?

There is surprisingly little data on the topic. We provided an answer to this question in completing a recent project on child care at the state level for the Committee for Economic Development (ced.org). What did we find? At the state level, enrollment in paid care varies from a low of 15.9 percent in both Utah and [...]

By |2016-02-09T12:53:05+00:00February 9th, 2016|Graphic, Maps, Pic of the Week, Research, Uncategorized|Comments Off on Which States Use the Most Paid Child Care?

Oklahoma Oil Producers Wrestle Massive Revenue Swing in 2015

Oklahoma’s crude oil producers are expected to experience a 38.1% drop in revenue from crude oil production in 2015. In dollar terms, this reflects a $4.35 billion swing from the record $11.4 billion in crude oil revenue produced in 2014. Our pic of the week illustrates both the amount and value of crude oil produced annually in Oklahoma since 1981. [...]

By |2015-06-21T22:06:22+00:00June 21st, 2015|Graphic, Pic of the Week, Uncategorized|Comments Off on Oklahoma Oil Producers Wrestle Massive Revenue Swing in 2015

Oil Rig Drop Now Exceeds 2008-09 Nat Gas Rig Collapse (06/03/2015)

The ongoing drop in the number of drilling rigs searching for crude oil now exceeds the collapse in natural gas rigs suffered back in the 2008-2009 period. Our pic of the week illustrates the similarity in size and pace between the respective oil and gas drilling collapses. Crude rigs are off  […]

By |2015-06-03T16:55:22+00:00June 3rd, 2015|Graphic, Pic of the Week, Uncategorized|Comments Off on Oil Rig Drop Now Exceeds 2008-09 Nat Gas Rig Collapse (06/03/2015)